DELIBERATIVE — PRE-DECISIONAL

live tracking suspended

Asteroid 1145 Kairos

Near-Earth Object · Entered solar system · Cannot be tracked past lunar orbit

Object parameters

Designation2026 AA₃ (1145 Kairos)

DiscoveryJan 2026 — infrared survey

Diameter████████

Velocity████████

Trajectory confidenceLOW — last obs. pre-lunar

Impact probability—

Probability trend — Jan 15 to Mar 13

Jan Feb Mar —

—

ESTIMATED IMPACT PROBABILITY

"just under 7%" — per leaked internal memo

From: ████████████, Office of the Director
To: Internal distribution
Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
Re: 1145 Kairos — Congressional Supplemental Request

"Yes, Asteroid 1145 Kairos has entered the solar system and cannot currently be tracked past lunar orbit. However, the probability of impact remains just under 7%. What we need is sustained congressional attention on the NEOS funding gap — the supplemental appropriations request for the infrared survey telescope has stalled in committee for three years."

Related signals

Ionospheric disturbance (SLC, UT)Confirmed — Fri Mar 13

Anomalous aurora at 40°N latitudeConfirmed — Fri Mar 13

ISS crew emergency returnIn progress

Congressional supplemental voteStalled in committee

Note — personal drive / Priya Nand / saved Fri Mar 13 11:47 PM

Seven percent is survivable. Seven percent means there's still time. Seven percent means "after this" is still a valid sentence.

I never knew after this would come so late.

saved to: /personal/if-something-happens/